By Barry Rubin
There's a remarkable exchange from a May 2009 presidential press conference that is extraordinarily revealing.
Question: "Aren't you concerned that your outstretched hand has been interpreted
by extremists, especially [Iranian President Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad, [Hizballah leader] Nasrallah, [Hamas leader] Meshal, as
weakness?"
President Obama: "Well, it's not clear
to me why my outstretched hand would be interpreted as weakness."
Yes, that's the problem, isn't it? I have often written that Obama does not accept the most basic principles of international
relations.
Why should he know any better since he lacks any
experience while the advisors he most depends on usually also lack experience? In place of understanding and experience, they
have an ideology that so distorts reality as to ensure failure.
(If
you say that Obama is doing it on purpose, I would suggest that if that were true he'd be doing a better and less obviously
incompetent job than he's doing now.)
I think the above sentence
from him is pretty sincere. He has no idea at all why apologies, unilateral concessions, undermining friends, and rewarding
enemies doesn't work. A lot of the problem is the absolute refusal of politically correct (but factually incorrect) politicians
and intellectuals to understand that other people in certain parts of the world think differently from them. Indeed, this
has been defined as "racist" thinking.
If Obama were
to offer an "outstretched hand" to Canada, for example, of course it wouldn't be "interpreted as weakness."
The two countries have a relatively similar history, system, and worldview. Both sides accept the other's good intentions
and desire for friendship. Neither seeks to conquer the other or institute a system that would dominate the region or even
world.
That commonality doesn't apply across certain cultural-intellectual-historical
lines. Yet the previous sentence in this paragraph is not (or only barely) permissible. By being deprived of any understanding
of these fundamental differences, students and the public simply cannot understand most of what's going on in the Middle East.
Of course, a lot of the public has enough life experience to see what's obvious.
But the more "education" (consider "conflict resolution" training) one has under the current indoctrination,
the harder for them to comprehend reality of this sort.
My education
on this point was considerably advanced about 35 years ago when a very "Westernized" and "moderate" Egyptian
fellow student explained to me that Israel and Ugandan dictator Idi Amin cooked up the hijacking of a passenger plane and
all of its passengers to Entebbe. The goal of the plot was to let Israel rescue them and thus make that country look good.
He really believed this to be true.
Contemporary behavior in
the West (media, academia, government) rewards and humors such thinking. A turning point in my life came more than two decades
ago when I was in a meeting with high-ranking Egyptian officials in Cairo. They were spouting the most incredible nonsense
about the region, U.S. policy, and Israel.
What was the point
for me, a researcher, to sit there and hear this recitation of propaganda, lies, and conspiracy theories that I'd already
heard so many times? I wasn't a diplomat there to flatter or befriend but rather to find out things. So I challenged them.
The other members of the delegation were shocked and I was promptly disinvited from the rest of the trip.
The truth is that in dealing with the Middle East, the West is often dealing not
so much with people who have an equally valid narrative but real wackos (multiculturalism translation: people who have a different
worldview) whose grasp of reality is not so firm. That such people may have trillions in oil money, nuclear weapons, or powerful
armies is rather disconcerting.
A timely reminder of this is
an interview with Ahmed Ezz El-Arab (not my preferred transliteration!), who is Vice-Chairman of Egypt's Wafd Party and heads
the party's foreign policy team. To understand the significance, remember that the Wafd Party is the great liberal, moderate
party that was central in Egypt's history from the mid-1920s to the mid-1950s. If Egypt was going to become a modern, democratic
and reasonably secular state, the Wafd Party was the great hope.
Yet
in the mid-1950s the Wafd and other such groups were pushed aside by the radical nationalists (Nasserists) and the radical
Islamists (Muslim Brotherhood) and they have never recovered, despite all that excitement in Tahrir Square. Indeed, the traditional
moderate liberal Wafd is now in partnership with the Muslim Brotherhood for the coming elections.
El-Arab has not yet mastered, apparently, the great art of saying something quite different in English than he does
in Arabic. Perhaps there should be a school run by those ubiquitous public relations firms to teach this; it could be called
the Yasir Arafat School of Speaking and Public Communication.
Teacher:
OK, now assume you're on CNN. What do you say about Israel?
Student:
The evil satanic Jews are enemies of Islam and must be wiped out!
Teacher:
No, no. [Points at the teacher's pet]. Can you tell us what the answer should be?
Student 2: Yes, teacher. We would like to live in a just and lasting peace with Israel but the Zionists are aggressive
and oppress our people. The Palestinians are the new Jews.
Teacher:
Excellent!
And so the candid El-Arab told the interviewer (on
tape, mind you!):
-The Holocaust largely never happened.
-The Diary of Anne Frank is a fake.
-The September 11 attacks were staged by the U.S. government and Israel, not Osama
bin Laden.
-Obama's election doesn't reflect American democracy but a ruling class plot.
-American soldiers with
double Israeli nationality and Jewish religion stole Jewish antiquities from the Babylonian exile period and buried them in
Jerusalem so they could be later dug up so Jews can claim an association with the city.
How, then, do we know El-Arab is "moderate"? (I'm not joking.)
He said Egypt should only go to war
with Israel if attacked (of course, there's always the problem of what constitutes being attacked). He said Jews once did
live in the land that today constitutes Israel, and he is against killing all the Israeli Jews. If he were an Islamist he
would have a different stance on those three issues.
Now, since
Obama cannot comprehend a person like El-Arab or Ahmadinejad or Nasrallah, or Meshal, he cannot comprehend how his policy
is interpreted as weakness by such people. Nor can he understand that these people are not merely the Middle Eastern equivalent
of Obama supporters but are very sincere about throwing U.S. influence, non-radical governments, and Israel out of the region.
Here's the difference: When Obama reaches an "outstretched hand" to the
other side in the Middle East that hand is open and holding money and concessions. When those on the other side put out an
outstretched hand it is intended to strangle America and all of its friends.